Posted by
Juliana Johnson on Monday, March 10, 2008 12:08:56 PM
Democrat Bill Foster’s victory over Republican Jim Oberweis
in Saturday’s special election in Illinois
is evidence of the clamor for change in the countryside? Perhaps.
Are exurban Chicagoans disgusted
with Washington?
Yes, they are.
But there were some uniquely local factors that were more
decisive.
This was Oberweis’ fourth run for high office since
2002. Over the past six years, he has turned in more stale, lackluster,
straight-to-video performances than Matthew McConaughey.
The dairy magnate’s
gaffe-filled campaigns have demonstrated one thing clearly: he has
exponentially more personal wealth than good sense.
He burst onto the
scene in 2002 running for the U.S. Senate by comparing pro-lifers to the
Taliban. Oberweis was endorsed by then House Speaker Dennis Hastert in
that campaign, as he was in the congressional race just concluded. He
lost the primary.
In 2004, he ran for
U.S. Senate again and egregiously overplayed the anti-illegal immigration
sentiment, even among GOP primary voters, with a now infamous ad that would
have made 18th century Know Nothings blush. He was also fined
by the FEC coming out of that cycle for a thinly veiled attempt to run
television ads paid for by his dairy to benefit his campaign. He lost the
primary.
In 2006, he ran for
Governor and was in the ethical soup once again for using fake newspaper
headlines attributed to real newspapers in his television ads. He also
got whacked during that cycle for allegedly and hypocritically hiring illegal
aliens to clean some of his dairy stores, a charge that re-appeared in the
election concluded on Saturday. He lost the primary.
Subsequently, he
ran ill-fated, intraparty campaigns for both state party chairman and county
chairman in his home county. He withdrew from both contests when it was
clear he could not win.
In the 2008 race to
succeed Hastert, Oberweis ran a bitter primary against 14-year incumbent State
Senator Chris Lauzen. He won the primary but engendered lingering vitriol
from Lauzen and his supporters. Lauzen refused to endorse
Oberweis—admittedly this reflects poorly on Lauzen as well. As such, some
conservatives inclined to be less than enthusiastic about Oberweis to begin
with became outright hostile. This translated, at least in part, to the
underwhelming GOP turnout on Saturday.
Additionally,
Oberweis mucked it up again in the waning days of this latest campaign by
taking a quote from Foster grossly out of context in a television ad he
ran. Oberweis was properly excoriated by the Chicago Tribune among others
who have seen his act before.
So consider this candidate Oberweis in a state in which
every constitutional officer is a Democrat, the two legislative leaders are
Democrats, and the two U.S.
Senators are Democrats.
And consider this candidate Oberweis in a district,
admittedly GOP leaning, that the third most powerful man in the world, Speaker
Hastert, a 20-year incumbent, won only 60-40 two years ago against a no-name
Democrat with 1/17th of the funds Hastert had at his disposal (and
thus could not afford retail media buys).
In spite of the Obama ads and the dominant dogma of change,
this congressional race between the blunder-prone Oberweis and the
excruciatingly humorless (wait until he gets to Washington, you’ll see what I mean) Bill
Foster was a decidedly local matter.
Senator Dick Durbin did his best to nationalize the race and
cleverly divert voters’ attention away from this inconvenient reality saying of
the Foster victory, "It tells me that voters are ready for a change.
They want new leadership in Washington.”
And, of course, who knows more about change than the number
two man in the U.S. Senate, a 25-year congressional incumbent? Since
Durbin is up for re-election in November perhaps change should include his
departure.
While Beltway insiders may spin Foster’s victory as one for
the change insurgents, it is in fact most clearly a win for the Democrat
establishment that has had increasing command control of Illinois over the past decade.
Regardless of what ultimately happens in November, the
Oberweis loss then is much less a harbinger of the future for the nation than
it is an indicator of the present in Illinois.